This work highlights macro-economic developments of the forest sector in Europe. Socio-economic outcomes and impact on the forest sector (forestry, wood products, and paper & pulp) under high wood demand scenarios were assessed using the MAGNET model.
The D5.2 report analyzes CO2 emissions and removals arising from Harvested Wood Products (HWP) with a focus on five out of a total of 18 calculated scenarios, including alternative levels for wood demand and wood uses as defined in the ForestNavigator project (see D5.1). The estimates are based on the two pool-based approaches as described by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), applied at the country scale and aggregated at the EU scale. The results show the determined HWP contribution to biogenic CO2 emissions and removals associated with the production or the consumption of wood products both for the historical development and the future period 2024-2050, including an overview of the uncertainties due to the underlying data, the modeling framework and its assumptions. The results will serve as a basis for calibrating the HWP pool calculator to be integrated in the ForestNavigator WP6-7 policy modelling toolbox.
This report evaluates species distribution models under archetypal climate change and forest management scenarios to assess their impacts on terrestrial forest biodiversity. To achieve this, covariates describing environmental, climatic, and forest structural conditions under various climate change and forest management scenarios were analyzed using two complementary approaches. First, a modeling framework employing integrated species distribution models was applied, including a cross-scale comparison of results at both the pan-European scale and the national scale in Sweden. Second, a biodiversity trend assessment was conducted based on a non-systematic literature review and species-specific range maps.
This report outlines the rationale and objectives of the FPMF, reviews EU and MS participation during the project’s initial phase, provides insights from the first FPMF meeting in September 2024, and presents next steps to strengthen collaboration for informed forest policy-making across the EU.
This interim report provides a comprehensive overview of stakeholder engagement activities with the project’s Stakeholder Board, thus far. This focuses on the first stakeholder workshop, held in June 2023, and the second in September 2024. Experts from various forest-relevant fields were invited to interact with ForestNavigator research and researchers during thematic stakeholder engagement workshops.
The deliverable content focuses on the ForestNavigator EU Policy Modelling Toolbox, which aims to address the interactions between climate, biodiversity, and bioeconomy. Here, we outline the concept of the toolbox, which is centered around the land-use economic model GLOBIOM/G4M-X and includes cross-sectoral interactions with the energy sector via the PRIMES model and to the broader macroeconomy with the linkage to the MAGNET model. The Toolbox also considers climate change impacts, ecosystem services, and biodiversity indicators, and outlines the model integration approach and deployment strategy for the project.