This deliverable supports the development of ForestNavigator policy pathways by providing (i) a structured assessment of policy coherence in the EU forest policy framework and (ii) a quantified Reference Policy Scenario for EU forests and the forest sector.
ForestNavigator researchers presented recent key outputs and exploratory EU mitigation pathway results, focusing on the role of forests in climate mitigation and trade-offs with biodiversity and bioeconomy goals. PSC members provided feedback on baseline assumptions, biomass demand, biodiversity targets, policy pathways, leakage risks and the need to better reflect regional realities.
ForestNavigator researchers presented early results on EU bioeconomy indicators, the Policy Reference Scenario, and iBIS biodiversity modelling. PSC members provided feedback on harvest projections, wood circularity, bioenergy demand, legal constraints and the integration of biodiversity and carbon sink objectives.
This deliverable describes the updates to member state and EU forest modelling frameworks for policy impact assessment. The report also details model recalibration efforts and methodologies that are crucial for national GHG inventory reporting, as well as for compliance with EU LULUCF regulations.
This report examines how forest-based climate policies in the EU27, China, and the United States interact with global wood markets, carbon dynamics, and land use through trade. Using GLOBIOM-China as a core model, we assess a baseline scenario and three mitigation scenarios with emphasis on bioenergy expansion (HighBIO), increased wood use in construction (HighCONST), and a combination of both (HighBC). To assess harvest and carbon sink leakage, the scenarios are varied with both free-trade and fixed trade settings.