Aug 22, 2025
This deliverable describes the input data and protocol for developing the ForestNavigator climate-sensitive models. The deliverable outlines the procedure to generate the novel forest structure data, based on national forest inventories, to initialize the detailed process-based models. Next, the deliverable presents the simulation protocol used to forecast forest dynamics in Europe under alternative climate change scenarios and the outputs of the simulations of the detailed process-based model until the end of the century. Finally, the emulator constructed based on the detailed model simulations is presented and demonstrated.
Jul 28, 2025
This report presents an updated EU scale forestry cost model. This update is designed to more comprehensively capture relevant management activities such as regeneration and forest roads. Unlike previous models, which focused mainly on rotational forestry and timber supply, the updated model incorporates alternative management systems such as continuous cover forestry (CCF), distinguishes afforestation between tree species groups, and better accounts for spatial variability across the EU27. Furthermore, the model generates labor demand indicators, enabling integration with broader socioeconomic analyses and macroeconomic tools like GLOBIOM and MAGNET.
May 22, 2025
This deliverable describes the i3PGmiX model. The model is based on the 3PGmix process-based forest growth model and includes developments on the representation of photosynthesis, autotrophic respiration, natural mortality, forest management, as well as soil carbon and nitrogen dynamics. Besides a technical model description for future users, the deliverable also includes a proof of concept where the i3PGmiX model results for a simulation of climate change impacts on forest growth in Europe, as well as the impact of wind and bark beetle disturbance activity.
May 12, 2025
Deliverable D3.4 presents an integrated modeling approach to assess how natural disturbances—such as wildfires, bark beetle outbreaks, and windstorms—interact with forest management and climate change to affect the carbon sequestration potential of European forests.
Apr 1, 2025
This work highlights macro-economic developments of the forest sector in Europe. Socio-economic outcomes and impact on the forest sector (forestry, wood products, and paper & pulp) under high wood demand scenarios were assessed using the MAGNET model.
Mar 25, 2025
The D5.2 report analyzes CO2 emissions and removals arising from Harvested Wood Products (HWP) with a focus on five out of a total of 18 calculated scenarios, including alternative levels for wood demand and wood uses as defined in the ForestNavigator project (see D5.1). The estimates are based on the two pool-based approaches as described by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC), applied at the country scale and aggregated at the EU scale. The results show the determined HWP contribution to biogenic CO2 emissions and removals associated with the production or the consumption of wood products both for the historical development and the future period 2024-2050, including an overview of the uncertainties due to the underlying data, the modeling framework and its assumptions. The results will serve as a basis for calibrating the HWP pool calculator to be integrated in the ForestNavigator WP6-7 policy modelling toolbox.
