D2.3 Report and collection of high frequency updates forest cover and disturbance layers – Report accompanying the data layers

D2.3 Report and collection of high frequency updates forest cover and disturbance layers – Report accompanying the data layers

This report describes the data delivered in D2.3, which consists of the second version of the forest geodatabase (“forest4model” datacube) and the updated EUFo database. This report provides a brief summary of the data layers included in D2.3 compared to D2.1 and D2.2, the methods applied, existing data sources used, and data curation efforts to date. Existing and planned validation steps of the data are also briefly described.

D2.3 Report and collection of high frequency updates forest cover and disturbance layers – Report accompanying the data layers

D2.2 Dataset and report on reconciled EU forest carbon stocks status/change – 20 years of forest change

This report describes the European Forests Database (EUFo) and its methodology delivered in D2.2, which presents the collection of original sub-national information on forest area, harvest, biomass stock and increment from National Forest Inventories and other forest-related data sources. In addition, EUFo also includes a harmonized annual database on these same indicators based on a modelling approach to consistently assess Europe’s forest carbon status and change. Furthermore, the database contains data on international trade of wood products.

D2.3 Report and collection of high frequency updates forest cover and disturbance layers – Report accompanying the data layers

D6.3 National and EU baseline pathway for forest sector

In recent years, the EU27 forest carbon sink—including forest land and harvested wood products—has shown a marked decline due to natural disturbances, climate change impacts, forest aging and changes in harvest intensity. This weakening sink poses a challenge for EU climate policy. To assess future trajectories of the forest sector, we developed a cross-scale, harmonized Baseline scenario within the ForestNavigator project, representing the development of forest emissions and removals under a continuation of current management
practices and recent wood demand trends, without the introduction of new policy measure after 2023. This Baseline integrates projections from national forest carbon models (CBM-CZ, CBM-IE, CBM-IT, Heureka) and the EU-level GLOBIOM–G4M–X modelling framework.

D2.3 Report and collection of high frequency updates forest cover and disturbance layers – Report accompanying the data layers

D6.4 Report on modelling the EU forests in a multisectoral context

Task 6.4 of the ForestNavigator project focuses on developing a robust and integrated modelling toolbox to assess the climate mitigation potential of the EU forest-based sector. Building on the conceptual framework of Task 6.1, the toolbox enhances existing models by addressing key limitations in representing climate change impacts, forest disturbances, harvested wood product dynamics, and cross-sectoral policy interactions. At its core, the toolbox integrates the GLOBIOM/G4M-X modelling framework, which combines economic land-use modelling with detailed forest management simulations that now include climate-induced risks and adaptive responses.

D2.3 Report and collection of high frequency updates forest cover and disturbance layers – Report accompanying the data layers

D4.5 MESMER-L-X climate feedback emulator at the service of EU forest policy modelling

This report describes the development of the MESMER-L-X emulator. We analyzed multiple COSMO-CLM² regional climate model simulations under different forest scenarios, which provided the foundation for developing an emulator that accurately predicts local direct temperature effects from forest changes. The tool successfully reproduces key outcomes from the original climate simulations and offers a fast and reliable method of assessing climate
impacts related to different forest management strategies and has further potential for extension with additional simulation datasets. This capability will be harnessed to support European forest policy pathways modelling.

D2.3 Report and collection of high frequency updates forest cover and disturbance layers – Report accompanying the data layers

D3.3 G4M-X climate change sensitive meta-model

This deliverable describes the input data and protocol for developing the ForestNavigator climate-sensitive models. The deliverable outlines the procedure to generate the novel forest structure data, based on national forest inventories, to initialize the detailed process-based models. Next, the deliverable presents the simulation protocol used to forecast forest dynamics in Europe under alternative climate change scenarios and the outputs of the simulations of the detailed process-based model until the end of the century. Finally, the emulator constructed based on the detailed model simulations is presented and demonstrated.