Nov 3, 2025
This report describes the development of the MESMER-L-X emulator. We analyzed multiple COSMO-CLM² regional climate model simulations under different forest scenarios, which provided the foundation for developing an emulator that accurately predicts local direct temperature effects from forest changes. The tool successfully reproduces key outcomes from the original climate simulations and offers a fast and reliable method of assessing climate
impacts related to different forest management strategies and has further potential for extension with additional simulation datasets. This capability will be harnessed to support European forest policy pathways modelling.
Aug 22, 2025
This deliverable describes the input data and protocol for developing the ForestNavigator climate-sensitive models. The deliverable outlines the procedure to generate the novel forest structure data, based on national forest inventories, to initialize the detailed process-based models. Next, the deliverable presents the simulation protocol used to forecast forest dynamics in Europe under alternative climate change scenarios and the outputs of the simulations of the detailed process-based model until the end of the century. Finally, the emulator constructed based on the detailed model simulations is presented and demonstrated.
Jul 28, 2025
This report presents an updated EU scale forestry cost model. This update is designed to more comprehensively capture relevant management activities such as regeneration and forest roads. Unlike previous models, which focused mainly on rotational forestry and timber supply, the updated model incorporates alternative management systems such as continuous cover forestry (CCF), distinguishes afforestation between tree species groups, and better accounts for spatial variability across the EU27. Furthermore, the model generates labor demand indicators, enabling integration with broader socioeconomic analyses and macroeconomic tools like GLOBIOM and MAGNET.
May 22, 2025
This deliverable describes the i3PGmiX model. The model is based on the 3PGmix process-based forest growth model and includes developments on the representation of photosynthesis, autotrophic respiration, natural mortality, forest management, as well as soil carbon and nitrogen dynamics. Besides a technical model description for future users, the deliverable also includes a proof of concept where the i3PGmiX model results for a simulation of climate change impacts on forest growth in Europe, as well as the impact of wind and bark beetle disturbance activity.
May 12, 2025
Deliverable D3.4 presents an integrated modeling approach to assess how natural disturbances—such as wildfires, bark beetle outbreaks, and windstorms—interact with forest management and climate change to affect the carbon sequestration potential of European forests.
Apr 1, 2025
This work highlights macro-economic developments of the forest sector in Europe. Socio-economic outcomes and impact on the forest sector (forestry, wood products, and paper & pulp) under high wood demand scenarios were assessed using the MAGNET model.
